_-_copia.jpg "Xiomara Castro and her advisor Manuel Zelaya")
The general elections in Honduras, scheduled for November 30, 2025, are taking place against a backdrop of political tension and institutional questioning. The electoral outlook is marked by the control of the Liberty and Refoundation Party (LIBRE) over state institutions and an opposition that faces difficulties in consolidating a unified alternative. Signs of democratic weakening and friction between key institutions, such as the National Electoral Council and the Armed Forces, raise concerns about the transparency and legitimacy of the process.
The situation in Honduras is marked by fragmented opposition, as the National Party and the Liberal Party discuss a potential coalition. Nonetheless, internal conflicts and the absence of consensus on leadership and policies have hindered the establishment of a unified alliance. The recent primary elections exposed logistical issues and saw low voter participation, raising questions about the electoral system and drawing criticism toward institutional governance.
Management of institutions and strains during elections
The Nodos report notes that Honduran democracy is showing signs of pressure and that the ruling party is maintaining power through structural control of institutions. This situation has given rise to possible scenarios that include the continuation of the current model, institutional paralysis, or even a constitutional breakdown. Tensions between the National Electoral Council and the Armed Forces, which are responsible for electoral logistics, have raised concerns about the impartiality and efficiency of the process. In addition, the lack of electoral reforms and persistent political polarization increase the risk of post-election conflicts.
Various sectors of civil society and the international community have called on the authorities to guarantee a transparent and inclusive electoral process, respecting democratic principles in order to preserve the country’s political and social stability. The combination of a ruling party with institutional control, a divided opposition, and a contested electoral system raises the possibility of an unprecedented institutional crisis in Honduras.
Situations of opposition alliances and reactions from the governing party
In response to the current situation, the Liberal and National parties have initiated formal discussions to investigate a potential opposition alliance with the objective of contesting the LIBRE Party in the forthcoming elections. These discussions have covered strategies for electoral cooperation, allocation of candidacies, and a unified platform centered on the protection of democracy, the market economy, and adherence to the constitutional framework. The opposition parties argue that the administration of Xiomara Castro and her advisor Manuel Zelaya have advocated for measures to centralize authority, such as employing the Public Ministry to act against opponents, efforts to dominate the CNE, and proposed changes to the constitution.
If the coalition is formed, the two traditional parties could account for more than 50% of the electorate, according to recent polls. Social and business sectors see this union as a viable alternative to limit the ruling party’s progress. For its part, the ruling party has downplayed the impact of a possible opposition alliance, arguing that it offers no solutions for the country. The 2025 electoral process is shaping up to be a referendum between the continuation of the refoundation project promoted by LIBRE and a return to a republican and pro-investment model backed by a unified opposition. The outcome will define the political and institutional direction of Honduras.